Quote Originally Posted by Markedman View Post
I agree.....they say in the first paragraph of the piece they are using a statistical projection model.

What I don't get is what sort of model would predict Heldt playing virtually the same % of available minutes as Luke?

I wonder how good it was last season?
For Luke's minutes, my guess is that they looked at total% of minutes played last year without considering he missed a chunk of games at the start of the season.

With freshmen they're probably looking at recruit rankings and Heldt was pretty highly regarded by a couple of the services. Same goes for their Cheatham projection.