The Transfer Study: A look into commitment habits of 700 top players

[CaribouJim]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-basketball/news/20130801/college-basketball-transfer-study/?sct=hp_wr_a1&eref=sihp

Pretty detailed breakdown on transfers by SI's Luke Winn. Lot of bar graphs so I assume it is scientific.

4. That 34.3 percent transfer rate shouldn't be considered abnormal ...... because a recent study by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center showed that 32.6 percent of all full-time college students transfer. Are college students as a whole transferring too much for their own good? Maybe. But are basketball players transferring far more than non-athletes? That's a definite no.

7. Extra-early commitments rarely work out. I plan on writing more about this in another story, but the track record of players who commit to a school three or more years in advance is not pretty. There were 29 such players in the study, and 15 of them went on to decommit. Of the 19 who went on to play at least two seasons of college, nine transferred.

[Goose85]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-basketball/news/20130801/college-basketball-transfer-study/?sct=hp_wr_a1&eref=sihp

Pretty detailed breakdown on transfers by SI's Luke Winn. Lot of bar graphs so I assume it is scientific.

4. That 34.3 percent transfer rate shouldn't be considered abnormal ...... because a recent study by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center showed that 32.6 percent of all full-time college students transfer. Are college students as a whole transferring too much for their own good? Maybe. But are basketball players transferring far more than non-athletes? That's a definite no.

7. Extra-early commitments rarely work out. I plan on writing more about this in another story, but the track record of players who commit to a school three or more years in advance is not pretty. There were 29 such players in the study, and 15 of them went on to decommit. Of the 19 who went on to play at least two seasons of college, nine transferred.

Very telling statistics, especially with respect to the student body and student athletes.

[GOMU1104]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-basketball/news/20130801/college-basketball-transfer-study/?sct=hp_wr_a1&eref=sihp


7. Extra-early commitments rarely work out. I plan on writing more about this in another story, but the track record of players who commit to a school three or more years in advance is not pretty. There were 29 such players in the study, and 15 of them went on to decommit. Of the 19 who went on to play at least two seasons of college, nine transferred.


That's why there's no reason to push for an early commitment. The recruiting wont stop. More bad things can happen than good things before the guy actually signs.

[TheSultan]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-basketball/news/20130801/college-basketball-transfer-study/?sct=hp_wr_a1&eref=sihp

Pretty detailed breakdown on transfers by SI's Luke Winn. Lot of bar graphs so I assume it is scientific.

4. That 34.3 percent transfer rate shouldn't be considered abnormal ...... because a recent study by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center showed that 32.6 percent of all full-time college students transfer. Are college students as a whole transferring too much for their own good? Maybe. But are basketball players transferring far more than non-athletes? That's a definite no.


I used to use this statistic all of the time. Now I am not sure of its relevance and this is why - the reasons why athletes transfer are much different than the reasons non-athletes transfer. I think this might simply be a statistical coincidence more than anything else.